09 May 2008
The death rates from coronary disease among women under fifty may be plateauing after continuous falls since the 1970s, a new report suggests.
A joint study from Oxford and Manchester universities proposes that that rising levels of obesity and diabetes in younger women could be to blame.
Researchers from the university studied all deaths in England and Wales from 1931 to 2005 and published their findings in the BMC Public Health journal.
They found that heart disease death rates for all age groups increased until the 1970s, but have been falling continuously since . However, they also found that the level of decline has started to slow in recent years.
The BBC reports findings in the study that show the death rate from heart disease in the 45-49 age group nearly halved from the rate recorded between 1976 and 1985 to 15 deaths per 100,000 between 1986 and 1995.
However, in the ten-year period starting in 1996, it fell only to 12.5 deaths per 100,000.
Report author Peter Scarborough told the BBC: "What we may be seeing with the figures for women is a plateauing and in the future it may even rise.
"It seems to me that the increased rates of obesity and diabetes are playing a role in this and if this pattern is emerging in women then it is quite likely we will see the same in men in the future."
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